In this guide
Held annually at Flushing Meadows during late August and September, the US Open represents the year's concluding Grand Slam tournament on hard court surfaces. The quick, firm playing conditions at this venue distinctly favour players with commanding serves and forceful baseline games — a characteristic that fundamentally shapes prediction market behaviour differently from slower clay courts (Roland Garros) or grass surfaces (The Championships).
US Open 2026 Men's Singles Odds
Hard court excellence commands premium valuations:
- Carlos Alcaraz: ~24-28% — Dominant across all surfaces, prior US Open victor
- Jannik Sinner: ~22-26% — Exceptional hard court credentials, reliable return game
- Novak Djokovic: ~16-20% — Holds tournament record (24 Grand Slam titles), veteran edge
- Daniil Medvedev: ~10-14% — Claimed title in 2021, specialises on hard courts
- Taylor Fritz: ~5-8% — Local support factor, commanding serve strength
US Open 2026 Women's Singles Odds
- Aryna Sabalenka: ~24-28% — 2023 champion, dynamic hard court style
- Iga Swiatek: ~20-24% — Hard courts suit her approach more favourably than grass
- Coco Gauff: ~14-18% — Current defending champion, home court advantage
- Jessica Pegula: ~8-11% — Reliable performer across hard court events
US Open-Specific Trading Edge
- Hard court metrics: service velocity, first serve conversion, break point success — all pivotal at this venue
- Pre-tournament form: Results from July and August hard court competitions immediately preceding the Open carry substantial predictive weight
- Evening match performance: Certain competitors exhibit marked disparities in results during night matches contested beneath artificial lighting
- Environmental factors: The intense heat and moisture characteristic of New York in early-round play can advantage physically resilient competitors
FAQ
- When is the US Open 2026?
- The tournament commences in late August and concludes mid-September 2026. The championship matches occur on the second Sunday of September.
- When do US Open prediction markets open?
- Wagering typically becomes available between four and six weeks prior to tournament commencement. Markets for draw-specific outcomes launch following the official draw announcement.
- Can I trade during the US Open in real time?
- Absolutely — PolyGram refreshes markets for tournament champions and individual match outcomes continuously throughout the fortnight.