Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
BESTIA meet Isurus in a BetBoom Storm Season 4 group-stage best-of-three, with the market sitting at **0% YES** despite the pairing being live on the schedule. The shape of the match is straightforward: BESTIA are the better-known name and have the only recent head-to-head on record, a 2-0 win over Isurus in January 2026, but that alone does not support an extreme price when current form is mixed on both sides.[14][8]
The historical frame points to a closer read than the market implies. BESTIA’s recent results in the event include a Swiss-round loss to METANOIA Wolves, while Isurus have shown stronger tournament momentum, including a multi-match winning run in the same competition and form carried over from CCT South America matches.[1] Roster continuity looks intact for both teams, with BESTIA listed as cass1n, timo, buda, tomaszin and nacho, and Isurus as deco, atarax1a, Hezz, rzk and dott1.[1][13]
The main catalysts are confirmation of the start time and whether either side makes last-minute roster or schedule changes, because the market only resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, ends level, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner.[4] Tournament listings show the group stage running through 11 August, so any postponement would still be inside the competition window, but a no-show or cancellation would matter more than a routine reschedule.[4][6]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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