Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
56% | 44% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
56% | 44% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 56% |
| Map 1 Winner | 54% |
| Map 2 Winner | 54% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 47% |
| Map Handicap: EYE (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5) | 34% |
Market context
EYEBALLERS face Phantom in a best-of-three Winners’ match in the Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10, with the market pricing EYEBALLERS as a narrow favourite at 54% against Phantom’s 42% on Polymarket-style pricing. The matchup is live on several scoreboard and betting pages as a 09:00 UTC start, and the qualifier itself runs across 7–9 August with a $100,000 prize pool attached to the broader open stage.[1][2][6][7]
The current price is consistent with EYEBALLERS’ stronger established profile and ranking, rather than any dominant edge. KDA lists EYEBALLERS around world rank #33 and notes recent losses to FaZe, while Phantom arrive after a 0–2 defeat to Sashi but also carry a run of lower-tier wins over Lavked and Vexar.[1] One comparable read is that close prices in open-qualifier BO3s often reflect roster familiarity and higher-tier exposure more than recent map scorelines, especially when the lower-ranked side has been active and winning in weaker opposition.
The main catalysts are the final confirmation of line-ups, any schedule shift in the busy open-qualifier window, and whether either team has already played on the same day, which can matter in a compressed LAN or online bracket. No injury or suspension issues are indicated in the available sources, and neither side is flagged for a late roster change, so the line is likely to move most on official start-time confirmation and bracket progression rather than personnel news.[7][12][14]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Phantom (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 10. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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