Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-6.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: EAC (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Esport Academy Copenhagen (-3.5) vs fnatic (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Esport Academy Copenhagen (-9.5) vs fnatic (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-9.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: fnatic (-12.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+12.5) | 0% |
Market context
Fnatic’s quarter-final against Esport Academy Copenhagen comes into the market with a very lopsided read already priced in, but the underlying matchup still matters because this is a best-of-three with map veto leverage. Fnatic entered the playoffs on a seven-match winning streak and a clean recent run, while Esport Academy Copenhagen had steadier but less imposing form and a much lower world ranking, which is consistent with the crowd leaning heavily towards the favourite. The map profile also points one way: fnatic have been notably strong on Inferno and have repeatedly banned Nuke, while EAC’s recent numbers on Inferno and Ancient are much weaker, making their route to an upset narrower if the veto lands on comfort maps for fnatic.[1][3]
The main historical framing is that there is no recent head-to-head to anchor a rival narrative, so traders have to rely on current roster stability, map pool fit and bracket context rather than past meetings.[1][3] That tends to reinforce a short-priced favourite in esports markets when the stronger side also has the cleaner recent streak and the deeper map data. EAC’s recent improvement is real enough to matter, but their overall record and the mismatch in ranking suggest they need either a veto surprise or a slow fnatic start to make the match competitive.[1][10]
The key catalyst is simply whether the scheduled quarter-final actually proceeds on time and with the reported line-ups, because the market’s settlement rules only move to 50-50 if the match is not played, is tied, or is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. Sofascore and other live listings show the fixture as completed later in the day with fnatic winning 2-0, which materially reduces any residual scheduling risk if the market is still open elsewhere.[2][8] Traders would still watch for late roster changes, administrative delays or any bracket adjustment, but absent those, the current 100% YES price reflects a result that is already confirmed by live score data.[2]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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