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توقع: Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $208K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Isurus (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs Isurus (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-12.5) vs Isurus (+12.5)0%
Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-9.5) vs Isurus (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs Isurus (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Isurus face Patins da Ferrari in a CCT South America Series 4 playoff best-of-three, and the market’s 100% YES price reflects a heavy lean towards the Brazilian side rather than any settled certainty. Patins da Ferrari entered the round of 16 after a clean 3-0 Swiss-stage run, including 2-0 wins over ODDIK, Grêmio and METANOIA Wolves, while their core has been posting stronger recent individual numbers, with atarax1a highlighted at a 1.29 rating over the past three months.[1]

The historical read is that Patins have already shown they can convert this level of form into straightforward series wins: they beat Grêmio 2-0 on 17 July, and earlier market and results data also show them priced as the stronger side against ODDIK in the same event.[2][3] For a trader, that matters more than the headline probability, because bo3 playoff markets can still swing on veto shape, map comfort and whether the same lineup that powered the Swiss stage actually starts the match.[1][2]

The main catalysts are simple: official match start, any delay to the Round of 16 slot, and whether either team posts roster or scheduling changes before the bo3 goes live. The market description says a non-played cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date settles 50-50, while an abandoned match after it starts also has specific settlement risk if it is not completed.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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