Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Red Feet and QUINTESSÊNCIA will contest a Lower bracket round 3 elimination match in the CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The best-of-three format takes place on 13 August 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring by 14 August 03:15 UTC. The 0% implied probability suggests either substantial uncertainty about match completion or an expectation of postponement rather than a decisive result.
CCT South America Challengers tournaments have historically featured fixture congestion and scheduling complications, particularly in lower bracket stages where multiple matches compress into narrow windows. Previous editions saw several matches rescheduled or delayed due to technical issues, player availability conflicts, or administrative delays. The seven-day postponement clause creates a material settlement risk; if the match shifts beyond the original date, traders must monitor whether it occurs within the 168-hour window to avoid triggering the 50-50 resolution condition. Cancellations remain rare in CCT events but have occurred when teams withdraw or fail to field rosters.
Traders should track official CCT announcements regarding team roster confirmations, any player suspensions from prior matches, and venue or broadcast scheduling updates. Recent South American CS:GO circuit events have experienced fixture delays averaging 2-4 hours, though outright cancellations remain uncommon. Monitor both teams' social media and the CCT's official channels for last-minute changes. The current 0% probability may reflect genuine uncertainty about whether the match will proceed as scheduled rather than predictive confidence in either team's performance.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3… on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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