Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 95% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-9.5) vs 3DMAX (+9.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 3DMAX (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs 3DMAX (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs 3DMAX (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
Market context
Walczaki and 3DMAX are in a Group C elimination best-of-three at the StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier, with live listings showing Walczaki already one map up in the series[1][4]. That makes the market’s 100% crowd-implied price on a Walczaki win unusually hard to reconcile with pre-match pricing, which elsewhere had 3DMAX as the favourite on the back of deeper qualifier experience and slightly stronger recent results[2][7][8].
Historically, this is the sort of match where the line is driven less by overall reputation than by whether the stronger roster can stabilise after a poor opening and survive the map veto. 3DMAX arrived off a 1-2 loss to Gentle Mates in the same event, while Walczaki had been routed 0-2 by magic, so both sides came in with recent defeats rather than clean momentum[4][5][11]. Head-to-head history is thin, with no meeting recorded in the past six months, so traders have to lean on current form, map pool fit, and whether the live series state is reflected correctly[8].
The main catalysts now are official series status, any score correction, and whether the fixture continues on schedule, because the market only resolves to 50-50 if the match is cancelled, tied, or left undecided beyond seven days[6]. Scheduled listings varied between 10:00 UTC, 13:00 Moscow time, and 14:00 local page listings, which is a reminder that qualifier timetables can drift and official bracket updates matter more than third-party countdowns[3][6][7][9][11]. Team pages currently show unchanged line-ups, so the next meaningful move would come from a forfeit notice, a map-for-map result update, or any delay in the live bracket feed[4][8].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Star… on توقعات كورة
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