Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs WW Team (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs WW Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: WW Team (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
WW Team meet ex-RUSTEC in a best-of-three Round of 16 at CCT Europe Series #6, and the market’s 0% crowd price on WW Team looks detached from the actual pre-match profile. WW are the higher-ranked side in the published listings, with GosuGamers showing them at world rank 71 to ex-RUSTEC’s 80, while Strafe lists WW at #63 and ex-RUSTEC as unranked; both also note this is their first meeting in the last six months, so there is no direct head-to-head guide to lean on.[4][9][1]
Recent form is mixed rather than one-sided. Strafe says both teams have won four of their last five, yet bo3.gg flags WW as being in a severe slump, with a 0% win rate over the last month and four defeats in five matches, even though their map pool includes respectable Dust2 and Mirage numbers.[9][1] ex-RUSTEC’s recent run is more coherent in the available data: bo3.gg describes a three-match winning streak, and Polymarket’s event page also frames them as arriving with strong map performances through the earlier CCT stages.[2][13]
For traders, the main catalysts are roster stability and match timing. The listed line-ups are complete on both sides — WW with deko, ct0m, kelieN, m3wsu and StRoGo, and ex-RUSTEC with Patsi, Brilliance, youka, yiksrezo and jakekeS — so any late substitution or stand-in report would matter more than generic form narratives.[1] The match is also part of a single-elimination playoffs bracket, so if the fixture is delayed, cancelled, or not completed within the settlement window, the market can still resolve away from either team on the stated rules.[7][16]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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