توقع: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

Aurora and Team Yandex will contest a best-of-three Dota 2 match in the group stage of The International 2026, scheduled for 4:00 AM ET on 14 August. The fixture represents a critical early-stage encounter where seeding implications remain fluid; both teams enter from regional qualifiers with uneven preparation timelines and roster stability concerns that have marked the lead-up to the event.

Aurora's recent form through regional play showed inconsistent map control and mid-game decision-making, though their carry position maintained farm efficiency in crucial moments. Team Yandex, conversely, demonstrated stronger coordination in team fights but struggled against teams exploiting their predictable warding patterns. Head-to-head records between these squads are sparse at tier-one events, with only two prior meetings in 2025 online qualifiers—each team claimed one victory under different patch conditions. The 41% implied probability for Aurora reflects market uncertainty rather than a decisive skill gap; both rosters occupy similar ranking tiers within the post-qualifier hierarchy.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations through 13 August, as both organisations have history of last-minute stand-in announcements. Patch notes released within 72 hours of the match could significantly alter hero viability and favour whichever team's scrim block better adapted to meta shifts. Schedule dependencies matter: if either team plays more than one group-stage match on 14 August, fatigue becomes a material factor. Official tournament communications from Valve and the event organisers will clarify final bracket positioning and any potential rescheduling triggers before the settlement window closes.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.