Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Game Handicap: GLYPH (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 51% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 26% |
| Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5) | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
Market context
GLYPH and Zero Tenacity meet in a best-of-three winners’ match at the Games of the Future Group C stage, with both sides arriving off 2-0 starts in the group. That makes the market less about raw advancement and more about whether GLYPH’s stronger pre-match standing can hold against a Zero Tenacity side that has already shown it can close out series cleanly in this event.[3][4][18]
The available form and rating data lean towards GLYPH, but not overwhelmingly. Strafe lists GLYPH with a higher world ranking and a better recent record than Zero Tenacity, while dltv notes GLYPH as the bookmaker favourite and points to a stable roster over the past month; at the same time, Zero Tenacity’s recent match win rate is slightly better and the team has also been competitive in the opening rounds.[5][10] There is no head-to-head history between these line-ups on record, so traders are reading a fresh matchup rather than a repeated pattern.[5][10]
The main catalysts are lineup confirmation, map veto news and any schedule movement around the group stage. Recent coverage says Zero Tenacity’s current roster includes MikSa, Worick, mrls, MoOz and nesfeer, while GLYPH’s listed core features JaCkky, sanctity-, zeal, Jhocam and NARMAN, so any late swap would matter more than usual in a short BO3.[10][15] The match is listed for 14:00 UTC, but several listings show local-time discrepancies, which is the sort of administrative detail that can affect settlement only if the series is delayed or not played.[1][4][7]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games of the Future Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: GLYPH vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Games o… on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →