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توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Football snapshot for "توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Match Winner 94% Game 2 Winner 86% Game 1 Winner 84% O/U 2.5 Games 50% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $392K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner94%
Game 2 Winner86%
Game 1 Winner84%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?49%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)38%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?28%

Market context

TEAM VISION and Team Resilience face off in a best-of-three opening fixture at The International's group stage, with the match originally scheduled for 12 August at 10:00 PM ET. The 87% implied probability backing TEAM VISION reflects their standing as the favoured outfit, though group-stage volatility at Valve's premier tournament has historically punished overconfidence. Recent International editions have seen seeding disrupted by meta shifts and preparation gaps; teams arriving with outdated patch strategies or roster cohesion issues have collapsed against supposedly inferior opponents. The resolution mechanism carries meaningful risk—any cancellation, tie, or failure to complete within seven days triggers a 50-50 split, a non-trivial tail outcome given esports' susceptibility to technical failures and scheduling conflicts.

Current form and roster stability matter considerably here. TEAM VISION's recent LAN placements and their performance in qualifying events should anchor expectations, whilst any last-minute line-up changes, visa complications, or player illness could shift the matchup fundamentally. Team Resilience's recent results, scrim records, and whether they've fielded this exact roster in competitive matches all feed into whether they're genuinely outmatched or simply underrated by the crowd. Traders should monitor official The International schedule updates and team social media for any roster announcements or withdrawal notices in the 48 hours before the fixture. Patch notes released immediately before the tournament can also reset perceived advantages, particularly if either team specialises in heroes or strategies that receive significant balance changes.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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