Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 94% |
| Game 2 Winner | 86% |
| Game 1 Winner | 84% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 49% |
| Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5) | 38% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 28% |
Market context
TEAM VISION and Team Resilience face off in a best-of-three opening fixture at The International's group stage, with the match originally scheduled for 12 August at 10:00 PM ET. The 87% implied probability backing TEAM VISION reflects their standing as the favoured outfit, though group-stage volatility at Valve's premier tournament has historically punished overconfidence. Recent International editions have seen seeding disrupted by meta shifts and preparation gaps; teams arriving with outdated patch strategies or roster cohesion issues have collapsed against supposedly inferior opponents. The resolution mechanism carries meaningful risk—any cancellation, tie, or failure to complete within seven days triggers a 50-50 split, a non-trivial tail outcome given esports' susceptibility to technical failures and scheduling conflicts.
Current form and roster stability matter considerably here. TEAM VISION's recent LAN placements and their performance in qualifying events should anchor expectations, whilst any last-minute line-up changes, visa complications, or player illness could shift the matchup fundamentally. Team Resilience's recent results, scrim records, and whether they've fielded this exact roster in competitive matches all feed into whether they're genuinely outmatched or simply underrated by the crowd. Traders should monitor official The International schedule updates and team social media for any roster announcements or withdrawal notices in the 48 hours before the fixture. Patch notes released immediately before the tournament can also reset perceived advantages, particularly if either team specialises in heroes or strategies that receive significant balance changes.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Resilience (BO3) -… on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →