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توقع: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

"توقع: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Match Winner 79% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 2 Winner 71% First Blood in Game 1? 64% Volume: $330K Liquidity: $856K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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توقع: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner79%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 2 Winner71%
First Blood in Game 1?64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?59%
First Blood in Game 2?54%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?44%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor34%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor34%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors32%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors32%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%

Market context

Anyone’s Legend face LGD Gaming in an LPL Group Ascend best-of-three, with the market leaning to AL at 71% despite the shorter series format leaving some room for variance. The price is broadly consistent with recent comparables: Anyone’s Legend swept LGD 3-0 in the June 2026 Split 2 playoffs, while recent preview coverage also places AL as the stronger side on roster quality and form. That said, the head-to-head is not one-way over a longer sample, and Tips.GG lists the all-time series at 4-4 with a 10-10 map split, which is a reminder that LGD have historically been capable of taking games when drafts break their way.[2][7][8][10]

For traders, the main line-moving catalysts are roster confirmation, last-minute substitutions, and whether either side shows a materially different draft approach after their most recent meeting. The scheduled start is listed around 07:00 on 24 July in GosuGamers’ match page, while other previews place the opening at 15:00 Singapore time, so timing and broadcast listings are worth checking against the official LPL schedule before settlement-critical moments.[1][2] Anyone’s Legend’s reported core of Flandre, Tarzan, Shanks, Hope and Kael has been repeated across recent previews, and no injuries or suspensions are indicated in the sources provided, so the main dependency is whether both teams field expected starters and the match proceeds as scheduled.[2][6][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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