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توقع: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Football snapshot for "توقع: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) 100% Game Handicap: GAM (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5) 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $410K Liquidity: $911K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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توقع: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)100%
Game Handicap: GAM (-2.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+2.5)100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill100%
Any Player Penta Kill100%
Game 4 Winner50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Odd/Even Total Kills1%
First Blood in Game 3?1%
First Blood in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game 3 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%

Market context

DetonatioN FocusMe face GAM Esports in a best-of-five LCP group-stage series, and the market has opened with the crowd assigning it a 0% YES chance for DFM. That pricing is consistent with the recent match history: GAM beat DetonatioN FocusMe 2-0 in their 26 July meeting, and multiple results databases show a 5-0 head-to-head record for GAM across their previous five meetings[7][9][11].

The broader form profile also points the same way. Recent match logs show DetonatioN FocusMe have won just one of their last five series, with a lone 2-1 over Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming, while GAM have been steadier in Pacific competition and have already posted wins over DFM earlier in the split[7][13][18]. Several pre-match listings also describe GAM as the clear regional favourite, citing stronger results against comparable opposition and a cleaner overall record in the matchup[6][8].

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: the confirmed starting line-ups, whether either team changes its usual five, and whether the series begins on schedule or is disrupted, because the settlement rules fall back to 50-50 if the match is not played, is tied, or is delayed too far beyond the scheduled date. The live match pages and highlight listings suggest the fixture is part of the current LCP Split 3 Swiss-stage slate, so any late schedule update from the organiser or a roster announcement close to broadcast would matter more than general form already does[1][3][19].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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