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توقع: LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Match Winner 0% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 0% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 0% Volume: $844K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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توقع: LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Match Winner0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%

Market context

DN SOOPers face HANJIN BRION in a single-game elimination at the KeSPA Cup Group Stage, a match already played on 20 July 2026 where BRION won 1–0. The 0% crowd-implied probability for a SOOPers victory reflects their severe historical disadvantage: BRION has won six of the eight recorded head-to-head encounters, including a 2–0 sweep in the KeSPA Cup 2025 and two consecutive 2–0 victories in LCK 2026 Rounds 1–2 [1][2][4]. In the last five matches between the sides, SOOPers have secured only one win, while BRION has dominated with four straight victories, often closing games without losing a single map [3].

Traders should monitor official KeSPA Cup result confirmations and any post-match roster announcements, as BRION’s starter lineup—featuring Teddy, Pyosik, and DuDu—has remained consistent across recent LCK and KeSPA appearances [5]. With the match already concluded and the settlement window closing on 20 July 2026, the primary catalyst is the official resolution of the market based on the confirmed 1–0 result [2]. Any delay in official confirmation beyond seven days would trigger the 50–50 settlement clause, though current data confirms BRION’s win was final [1]. No injury or suspension news has emerged for either side since the match date, reinforcing the market’s current pricing.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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