Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 100% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
Market context
The League of Legends match between DN SOOPers and KT Rolster in the KeSPA Cup Group Stage has already concluded, with KT Rolster securing a 0–1 victory in the Best of 1 fixture played on 20 July 2026[1][2]. The market’s current 0% YES probability for DN SOOPers reflects the definitive outcome, as the match is finished and KT Rolster is the confirmed winner[2][3].
Historical head-to-head data strongly supports KT Rolster’s dominance, having won six of the eight previous encounters against DN SOOPers, including a 2–0 win in their most recent meeting on 30 May 2026[3][4]. Strafe users previously predicted KT Rolster to win with 95.2% confidence, aligning with the actual result and the market’s settled probability[3][6]. While DN SOOPers had previously defeated KT Rolster 2–0 in the 2026 LCK Cup, that exception does not outweigh KT’s consistent superiority in longer series and their recent BO1 win[5].
Traders should note that no further catalysts exist, as the event is complete and settlement is imminent. The market will resolve to “KT Rolster” with certainty, given the match was played and completed without cancellation, tie, or forfeiture[2]. Any dependency on roster changes, such as DN SOOPers’ mid laner Clozer, is now irrelevant post-result[5]. The settlement window closing on 20 July 2026 at 16:35 UTC confirms final resolution is imminent[2].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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