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توقع: LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $2.8M Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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توقع: LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
First Blood in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

The League of Legends Lower Bracket final between GAM Esports and T1 at the Esports World Cup Group C has already concluded, with T1 securing a decisive 2–0 series victory on 16 July. This result renders the prediction market for a GAM win effectively void, as the match outcome is fixed and T1 has advanced to the Knockout Stage while GAM faces elimination in the losers’ bracket [1][4].

Historically, T1’s dominance over GAM is well established: they won their only prior encounter 1–0 in a BO1 on 15 July at the same tournament, and have never lost to the Vietnamese side in competitive League of Legends [7][8]. Given T1’s fourth-place ranking in Riot’s Global Power Rankings versus GAM’s 23rd, along with superior roster depth and international experience, the 0% crowd-implied probability for a GAM win aligns with both recent form and head-to-head record [10][11].

Traders should monitor official tournament updates confirming the match’s finality and any procedural anomalies, though no catalysts remain that could alter the result. The settlement window ending 16 July 17:20 UTC has already passed the actual completion time, and since T1 won without forfeiture or disqualification, the market resolves definitively to “T1” [1][3]. No further announcements, line-up changes, or schedule dependencies can affect this outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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