Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
66% | 34% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
66% | 34% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 66% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 65% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 64% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 62% |
| Game 2 Winner | 60% |
| Game 1 Winner | 59% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 53% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 49% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 48% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% |
| Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) | 37% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 35% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
GIANTX meet SK Gaming in a best-of-three LEC regular-season series, and the market’s 60% YES implies a modest GIANTX edge rather than a clear mismatch. That fits the most recent head-to-head result, where GIANTX beat SK 2-0 on 5 April 2026, even though the longer historical sample still leans slightly towards SK overall. Liquipedia’s match history shows GIANTX winning that April series after SK had taken several earlier meetings, so the current price sits between recent momentum and the broader record.[17][1]
For traders, the main catalysts are line-up confirmation, late roster changes, and whether either team arrives off a compressed schedule or a prior series on the same broadcast day. The available previews and results pages show both sides as relatively even on recent form, with one source listing each at 1-2 over their last 30 days and another noting GIANTX had won two of their last five while SK had won one of five.[3][4] No injury or suspension issues are visible in the supplied sources, so any move is more likely to come from official starting line-up announcements, patch-related draft expectations, or a fresh result elsewhere in the LEC that changes how the teams are priced before the 21:00 UTC settlement window.[4][6][7]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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