Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| First Blood in Game 1? | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 90% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
Market context
Ici Japon Corp. Esport face Skillcamp Esport in a single-game LFL regular-season match, with the market currently pricing a complete shut-out on the away side. The most recent head-to-head in April went to Ici Japon Corp. 1-0, and the available match page records one meeting, one Ici Japon win and no draws, which is the clearest direct comparison for this rematch[4][5][7].
Recent form points in opposite directions. Ici Japon Corp. have the stronger longer-run profile in the data provided, including a higher world ranking and a recent win over Skillcamp, while Skillcamp’s spring run was poor enough to leave them at the bottom of the standings in one preview, even though later summer summaries show some recovery in recent five-match form[3][5][6]. That split is why the 0% YES price is less about the historical head-to-head alone and more about whether traders think the newer form data is reliable enough to override the earlier mismatch.
For traders, the main catalysts are roster confirmation, late schedule changes and any match-day disruption, because the market only resolves to 50-50 if the game is not played, ends tied, or is delayed beyond the settlement window without a winner. The match is listed for 4 August 2026 at 16:00 UTC, but the market’s settlement deadline is 22:00 UTC, leaving a narrow window for delays, official start-time slips or broadcast issues to matter[2][11][14].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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