Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2? | 0% |
Market context
The Esports World Cup 2026 Group B lower bracket final between Karmine Corp and Sentinels in League of Legends has already concluded, with Karmine Corp securing a decisive 2–0 victory on 16 July 2026. The match, initially slated for 7:20 AM ET, ended in 31 minutes and 30 seconds for the second game, confirming Karmine Corp’s progression to the Knockout Stage while eliminating Sentinels from contention [1][2].
Historically, 100% crowd-implied probabilities in live esports markets post-match resolution reflect settled outcomes rather than predictive uncertainty. Comparable cases in tournament prediction markets show that once a match result is officially recorded and broadcast, liquidity collapses as the event becomes factual rather than speculative. In this instance, the 2–0 scoreline and immediate knockout confirmation align with the market’s certainty, mirroring patterns seen in prior Esports World Cup group stages where early eliminations locked in final probabilities within hours [3][4].
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any procedural anomalies, though the match is already complete. Key dependencies include the Esports World Cup’s formal result certification and potential delays in settlement if administrative reviews occur, but no such delays are currently indicated. With Karmine Corp’s roster featuring Caliste, Yike, and Busio delivering a clean sweep against Sentinels’ lineup of Rahel, Impact, and huhi, the outcome is firmly established [2][3]. No further catalysts are expected to alter the resolution.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports… on توقعات كورة
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