Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
69% | 31% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
69% | 31% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 69% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 69% |
| Match Winner | 68% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 55% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 51% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 49% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 48% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 48% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 47% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 47% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 40% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 39% |
| Game 1 Winner | 32% |
| Game Handicap: MYTH (-1.5) vs Dynasty (+1.5) | 30% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 28% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
Myth Esports and Dynasty meet in a Road Of Legends regular-season best-of-three, and the crowd’s 31% price for Myth points to Dynasty being viewed as the likelier side. That is a notable shift from the historical edge: Myth have won the head-to-head 4-2 in one source’s longer sample, but Dynasty took the most recent meeting 2-1 on 14 April, while a separate match page for the Spring split lists Myth leading the direct series 2-1 across three games played. [6][1]
The broader form picture also supports a cautious read on Myth. Sheep Esports lists Myth at 0-2 in recent form on the match page shown, while Dynasty are 2-0 there, and BO3’s recap of the April meeting says Myth have been mixed in recent weeks and Dynasty carried a 2-1 head-to-head edge from Spring. [1][3] Leaguepedia’s roster history shows Dynasty still fielding the same core names — HandiDog, Fishue, Unchained, Henry Snow and Ranorr — which reduces the chance that a late lineup change is the main driver unless an unlisted substitute appears close to kick-off. [10]
The main catalysts to watch are final lobby confirmation, any last-minute roster swap, and whether the match starts on schedule, because the settlement rules turn a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days into a 50-50 outcome. Sheep Esports’ Summer Split page also showed no stream listed at the time of the match listing, so traders should watch for broadcast and fixture updates as well as any official notes from the league or teams before the scheduled start. [4][1]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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