Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
JD Gaming face TYLOO in an upper bracket semifinal of the VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs on 19 August 2026, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The best-of-three match begins at 4:00 AM ET, representing the highest stakes domestic competition in Chinese Valorant this season.
The 100% implied probability reflects JD Gaming's established dominance in the Chinese region. JD Gaming have consistently finished as top-two seeds in VCT China regular seasons and maintain a superior head-to-head record against TYLOO across recent international and domestic fixtures. TYLOO, whilst competitive, have historically struggled in playoff environments against tier-one Chinese opposition. The current odds discount any meaningful upset potential, suggesting the market views this as a heavily favoured matchup rather than a competitive semifinal.
Traders should monitor roster stability announcements through early August, particularly any last-minute substitutions or stand-in deployments that could shift map pool flexibility or agent pool depth. Recent VCT China broadcasts have shown JD Gaming executing more refined postplant executes and utility economy management than TYLOO's standard protocols. Any injury reports or visa complications affecting either squad's travel to the playoff venue would trigger immediate settlement review under the postponement clause, with rescheduling permitted until 2 September 2026. The settlement window closes precisely at the scheduled match start time, leaving minimal buffer for technical delays or broadcast delays that occasionally occur in regional tournaments.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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