Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 31.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA Esports (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 32.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 34.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Team Envy and FURIA Esports meet in a best-of-three in VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, with both teams arriving under pressure after poor group-stage results. The recent form data in the market feed points the same way: FURIA lost 0-2 to NRG and 1-2 to Leviatán, while Team Envy were beaten 0-2 by MIBR and 0-2 by Evil Geniuses[1]. Strafe’s pre-match snapshot also put Team Envy on 1 win from their last 5 and FURIA on 0 from 5, with FURIA slightly ahead in its model despite both sides struggling overall[2]. The wider group context is bleak too, as bo3.gg reported that both ENVY and FURIA were already in trouble in Alpha, with Envy at 0-3 and FURIA also winless in the group at that stage[7][10].
For traders, the key read is whether either team makes a late roster or tactical change before the series, because there is little evidence of a form edge that would justify an extreme price like 0% YES. VLR and Strafe both list the fixture as a standard BO3 in Week 3 of the group stage, and Strafe notes this is the first recorded head-to-head between the sides[2][4][6]. That matters because there is no established matchup history to anchor a market move, so any line shift is more likely to come from official player availability, map veto expectations, or confirmation that the match actually begins on schedule rather than from historical head-to-head data alone[2][4][6].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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