Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs Team Envy (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs Team Envy (+8.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs Team Envy (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs Team Envy (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs Team Envy (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs Team Envy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-9.5) vs Team Envy (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Team Envy’s best-of-three against Leviatán Esports in VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha comes into view with the market already pricing a near-certain Leviatán win, and the underlying numbers justify that tilt. Leviatán beat Envy 2-0 in their only previous meeting on 24 April, and the same matchup history now sits alongside a sharper current run: Leviatán have won five of their last five, while Envy have taken two of their last five and are ranked far lower in the live Strafe standings.[1][8] That combination matters in a BO3, where a single map upset is possible but sustained form and map pool depth usually decide whether an underdog can force a third map.
The key catalysts are schedule and roster stability rather than injuries, which are not a major public factor in Valorant’s player pool. Leviatán have already been reported at 2-0 in Group Alpha after a 2-0 over Evil Geniuses, while Envy entered the week after a 0-2 loss to MIBR, leaving them under pressure to avoid another clean defeat.[6] Team sheets on recent match pages show Leviatán with kiNgg, sato, blowz, spikeziN and Neon, and Envy with Demon1, GLYPH, keznit, Rossy and Eggsterr, so any last-minute substitution or role change would be the main line-moving news to watch.[2][4] The match is listed for Riot Games Arena in Los Angeles, so any postponement, broadcast delay, or official rescheduling would matter for settlement as much as the in-game result itself.[3]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Team Envy vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Valorant: Team Envy vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) … on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →