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توقع: Anthropic IPO by 2027?

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Anthropic IPO by 2027?" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

December 31, 2026 68% October 31, 2026 39% September 30, 2026 9% September 15, 2026 2% Volume: $1.0M Liquidity: $48K Closes: 1 Jul 2027
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توقع: Anthropic IPO by 2027?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
December 31, 202668%
October 31, 202639%
September 30, 20269%
September 15, 20262%
June 30, 20260%
July 31, 20260%

Market context

Anthropic is still private, but it has taken the formal first step towards a flotation by confidentially filing a draft S-1 with the SEC on 1 June 2026. Since then, reporting has pointed to a possible public debut as soon as October, while other coverage says executives have discussed a fourth-quarter 2026 offering; no official listing date has been announced, and a confidential filing does not bind the company to one. [2][6][9]

For market context, the closest read-through is that large, highly valued private companies can move from filing to trading within a few months, but the timeline is still driven by disclosure and regulator sign-off rather than sentiment alone. Anthropic’s recent $965 billion private valuation, raised in a May 2026 financing round, frames how ambitious the eventual pricing could be, yet the market will only have a clearer signal once a public prospectus appears and the exchange venue is confirmed. [5][10][13]

Traders should watch for a public S-1 amendment, the start of the roadshow, and any exchange listing notice or SEC effectiveness filing, because those are the milestones that usually precede first trading. The current gap between a confidential filing and an actual debut also leaves room for slippage if market conditions weaken or the company elects to wait beyond the earliest reported autumn window. [2][8][9][15]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Anthropic IPO by 2027?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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