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توقع: Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Josh Allen 13% Lamar Jackson 11% Justin Herbert 11% Joe Burrow 9% Volume: $392K Liquidity: $755K Closes: 15 Feb 2027
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توقع: Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
13% 87% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
13% 87% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Josh Allen13%
Lamar Jackson11%
Justin Herbert11%
Joe Burrow9%
Drake Maye9%
Caleb Williams9%
Dak Prescott8%
Patrick Mahomes7%
Matthew Stafford6%
Brock Purdy5%
Jordan Love4%
Jalen Hurts3%
Sam Darnold2%
Trevor Lawrence2%
Bo Nix2%
Baker Mayfield2%
Jahmyr Gibbs1%
Christian McCaffrey1%
Saquon Barkley1%
Jaxson Dart1%
Jaxson Smith-Njigba1%
Jared Goff1%
Puka Nacua1%
Derrick Henry0%
De'Von Achane0%
Justin Jefferson0%
Myles Garrett0%
Bijan Robinson0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Other0%

Market context

توقع: Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner — current market-implied probability: 13%. This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

NFL Prediction Markets