Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
59% | 41% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
59% | 41% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić | 59% |
| Person C | 50% |
| Person D | 50% |
| Person E | 50% |
| Person F | 50% |
| Person G | 50% |
| Person H | 50% |
| Person I | 50% |
| Person J | 50% |
| Person K | 50% |
| Person L | 50% |
| Person M | 50% |
| Person N | 50% |
| Person O | 50% |
| Person P | 50% |
| Person Q | 50% |
| Person R | 50% |
| Person S | 50% |
| Person T | 50% |
| Person U | 50% |
| Person V | 50% |
| Person W | 50% |
| Person X | 50% |
| Person Y | 50% |
| Person Z | 50% |
| Person AA | 50% |
| Person AB | 50% |
| Person AC | 50% |
| Person AD | 50% |
| Person AE | 50% |
| Person AF | 50% |
| Person AG | 50% |
| Person AH | 50% |
| Person AI | 50% |
| Person AJ | 50% |
| Person AK | 50% |
| Person AL | 50% |
| Person AM | 50% |
| Person AN | 50% |
| Person AO | 50% |
| Person AP | 50% |
| Person AQ | 50% |
| Person AR | 50% |
| Other | 50% |
| Ilija Srdanović | 23% |
| Vladan Đokić | 4% |
| Stefan Krkobabić | 3% |
| Ana Brnabić | 1% |
| Dragan Đilas | 1% |
| Ivica Dačić | 0% |
| Miloš Vučević | 0% |
| Đuro Macut | 0% |
| Branimir Jovanović | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 59% probability to توقع: next prime minister of serbia?. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Next Prime Minister of Serbia?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Next Prime Minister of Serbia? on توقعات كورة
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →