توقع: Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

Platform comparison

Market context

FIFA has officially confirmed the full lineup for the inaugural World Cup Final halftime show on 19 July 2026 at MetLife Stadium, with Madonna, Shakira, BTS, Justin Bieber, Burna Boy, and Coldplay (featuring the PS 22 Chorus) set to perform live under the curation of Chris Martin [1][3]. This definitive announcement by the global football body and producer Global Citizen removes all ambiguity regarding the event’s participants, directly explaining the 100% crowd-implied probability for any listed artist from this roster [1][2].

Historically, prediction markets for major sporting entertainment events only reach certainty when the governing body releases a signed, public contract list, as seen with the NFL Super Bowl halftime confirmations where probabilities snapped to 100% immediately after official press releases [2][5]. Unlike previous tournaments where halftime acts were speculative until the final week, FIFA’s May 2026 announcement established a fixed roster months ahead, mirroring the certainty seen in confirmed Olympic opening ceremony lineups where no artist substitutions occurred post-announcement [4][8].

Traders should monitor only for cancellation of the Final itself, as the performance schedule is locked with kickoff at 3:00 p.m. ET and the show expected near 3:55 p.m. ET, dependent solely on stoppage time [2][11]. No further line-up news, injuries, or suspensions apply to these performers, as the event is a pre-booked spectacle rather than a competitive match; the sole settlement dependency remains the match taking place on the scheduled date [1][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.