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توقع: PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Michael Thorbjornsen 71% Stephan Jaeger 19% J.J. Spaun 19% Henry Lebioda 19% Volume: $264K Liquidity: $310K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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توقع: PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Thorbjornsen71%
Stephan Jaeger19%
J.J. Spaun19%
Henry Lebioda19%
Ze-Cheng Dou19%
Marco Penge19%
Corey Conners18%
Davis Riley17%
Johnny Keefer16%
Ryo Hisatsune16%
Peter Malnati14%
Austin Eckroat14%
Ricky Castillo13%
Emiliano Grillo13%
Sung-Jae Im13%
Davis Thompson8%
Jackson Koivun7%
Keita Nakajima7%
Harris English6%
Xander Schauffele5%
Hideki Matsuyama5%
Keegan Bradley4%
Doug Ghim4%
Benjamin James4%
Kristoffer Ventura4%
Mark Hubbard2%
Kevin Yu2%
Luke Clanton2%
Rickie Fowler1%
Ryan Gerard1%
Patrick Fishburn1%
Michael Kim1%
Chris Kirk1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Jordan L. Smith1%
Si Woo Kim1%
Jordan Spieth1%
Matt Wallace1%
Cameron Young1%
Justin Lower1%
Jacob Bridgeman1%
Russell Henley1%
Nicolai Hojgaard1%
Kevin Roy1%
Brandt Snedeker0%
Eric Cole0%
Rico Hoey0%
Gordon Sargent0%
Adam Schenk0%
Neal Shipley0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Akshay Bhatia0%
Tony Finau0%
Chris Gotterup0%
Ben Griffin0%
David Lipsky0%
Max McGreevy0%
Sam Stevens0%
Aaron Wise0%
Matt Kuchar0%
Zach Bauchou0%
Steven Fisk0%
Max Greyserman0%
Billy Horschel0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Matt McCarty0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Jackson Suber0%
Adam Svensson0%
Nick Taylor0%
Karl Vilips0%
Vince Whaley0%
Zac Blair0%
Jimmy Stanger0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Joel Dahmen0%
Brad Dalke0%
Cam Davis0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Brice Garnett0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Lee Hodges0%
Tom Hoge0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Patton Kizzire0%
Jake Knapp0%
Mac Meissner0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Chad Ramey0%
Ryan Ruffels0%
Matthias Schmid0%
Webb Simpson0%
Kevin Streelman0%
Dylan Wu0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
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Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to توقع: pga tour: rocket classic winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Rocket Classic tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Rocket Classic tournament based on the of…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: PGA Tour: Rocket Classic Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
and

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