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توقع: Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

"توقع: Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 71% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.5 63% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo 56% Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner 56% Volume: $127K Liquidity: $410K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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توقع: Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.571%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 21.563%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 Winner56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 Winner56%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 22.556%
Completed Match50%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Match O/U 23.550%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.545%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 2.543%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.536%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.535%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.535%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.534%
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.533%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to توقع: swiss open: raphael collignon vs juan manuel cerundolo. This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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