Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: swedish open: jesper de jong vs sebastian baez. This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Sebastian Baez in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong'…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez on توقعات كورة
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