Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 88% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 74% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 25% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: roehampton 2: anton matusevich vs constantin bittoun kouzmine. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Anton Matusevich and Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine in the Roehampton 2, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This ma…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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