Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: us open, qualification atp: francesco passaro vs tom gentzsch stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Passaro and Tom Gentzsch in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This m…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Tom Gentzsch. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro … on توقعات كورة
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