Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
76% | 24% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
76% | 24% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 76% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | 62% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 2 Winner | 59% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 1 Winner | 57% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 21.5 | 57% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 38% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 22% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to توقع: national bank open: valentin vacherot vs mariano navone. This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Mariano Navone in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vale…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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