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توقع: Arkansas vs. Utah

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Arkansas vs. Utah" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 36.5 100% O/U 38.5 100% 1H Spread -4.5 100% 1H Spread -5.5 100% Volume: $205K Liquidity: $515K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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توقع: Arkansas vs. Utah

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 36.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
Utah O/U 27.5100%
Utah 1H O/U 15.5100%
Utah 1H O/U 17.5100%
Utah 1H O/U 19.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
Utah O/U 28.5100%
Utah 1H O/U 14.5100%
Utah 1H O/U 16.5100%
Utah 1H O/U 18.5100%
1H Spread -11.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
Spread -1.599%
Spread -2.599%
Spread -14.599%
Spread: Utah (-9.5)97%
Spread -11.597%
Spread -4.597%
Spread -10.597%
Utah O/U 4.597%
Spread -7.596%
Spread -13.596%
Spread -6.596%
Spread -17.596%
Utah O/U 30.596%
Utah O/U 34.596%
Spread -3.595%
Spread -5.595%
Spread -16.595%
Spread -20.594%
Spread -21.594%
O/U 42.594%
Spread -24.593%
Utah O/U 33.591%
Utah O/U 31.591%
3Q O/U 6.591%
Spread -27.589%
O/U 48.588%
Utah O/U 37.588%
3Q Spread -2.585%
3Q O/U 12.583%
3Q Spread -3.578%
O/U 54.575%
O/U 55.575%
O/U 44.571%
O/U 46.570%
O/U 50.569%
3Q Spread -7.569%
O/U 52.567%
4Q O/U 7.564%
O/U 56.563%
O/U 57.563%
O/U 58.563%
Spread -26.563%
Spread -28.563%
Spread -29.561%
4Q O/U 10.559%
Spread -31.557%
Spread -32.554%
4Q O/U 13.554%
4Q Spread -2.553%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -8.550%
O/U 40.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Wayshawn Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Devon Dampier: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braden Pegan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braylen Russell: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sutton Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Marshall: Anytime Touchdown50%
KJ Jackson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ricky Johnson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaden Platt: Anytime Touchdown50%
Daniel Bray: Anytime Touchdown50%
Larry Simmons: Anytime Touchdown50%
CJ Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Donovan Faupel: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jamari Hawkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Utah O/U 36.550%
Utah O/U 39.550%
Arkansas O/U 15.550%
Arkansas O/U 18.550%
Arkansas O/U 24.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
Arkansas O/U 14.550%
Arkansas O/U 17.550%
Arkansas O/U 26.550%
Utah O/U 40.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
Byrd Ficklin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Steve Chavez-Soto: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Andrews: Anytime Touchdown50%
Noah Bennee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Creed Whittemore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cam Settles: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ismael Cisse: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyri Shoels: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jelani Watkins: Anytime Touchdown50%
Utah 2H O/U 14.550%
Utah 2H O/U 16.550%
Utah 2H O/U 18.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 7.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 9.550%
Arkansas 2H O/U 11.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -15.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -19.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -25.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
2H O/U 20.550%
2H O/U 23.550%
2H O/U 26.550%
2H O/U 29.550%
2H O/U 32.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q O/U 18.550%
Spread -34.549%
4Q Spread -3.548%
O/U 62.547%
O/U 60.546%
Arkansas O/U 2.541%
4Q O/U 16.541%
O/U 68.537%
O/U 64.536%
O/U 70.536%
O/U 74.535%
4Q O/U 19.535%
4Q Spread -7.533%
O/U 66.529%
O/U 76.528%
Arkansas O/U 20.523%
Arkansas O/U 21.521%
Arkansas O/U 23.520%
Arkansas O/U 27.514%
O/U 72.512%
Spread -2.53%
Spread -1.53%
Spread -5.52%
Spread -4.52%
Arkansas vs. Utah0%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
Arkansas 1H O/U 8.50%
Arkansas 1H O/U 10.50%
Arkansas 1H O/U 12.50%
Arkansas 1H O/U 7.50%
Arkansas 1H O/U 9.50%
Arkansas 1H O/U 11.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 22.50%

Market context

Arkansas vs. Utah. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 10% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-13T02:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 36.5 at 100% for "توقع: Arkansas vs. Utah".

O/U 36.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $205K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Arkansas vs. Utah. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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