Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 85% |
| O/U 37.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 81% |
| O/U 39.5 | 79% |
| O/U 41.5 | 75% |
| O/U 43.5 | 72% |
| Kansas State O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| O/U 45.5 | 64% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 62% |
| O/U 47.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| Kansas State O/U 23.5 | 60% |
| Arizona State O/U 23.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kansas State vs. Arizona State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Kansas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Arizona State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 51.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Arizona State O/U 35.5 | 48% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| O/U 53.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 39% |
| O/U 55.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| O/U 57.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Kansas State O/U 26.5 | 33% |
| Kansas State O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Kansas State O/U 32.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 59.5 | 30% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Arizona State O/U 29.5 | 27% |
| Arizona State O/U 32.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 61.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| O/U 63.5 | 22% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| O/U 65.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| O/U 67.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| O/U 69.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| O/U 71.5 | 12% |
| O/U 73.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 75.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 85% chance of توقع: kansas state vs. arizona state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Kansas State and Arizona State, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas State" if Kansas State win …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Kansas State vs. Arizona State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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