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توقع: Tulane vs. Duke

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Tulane vs. Duke" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -2.5 100% 1Q Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $493K Liquidity: $84K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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توقع: Tulane vs. Duke

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
Tulane O/U 18.578%
Spread -3.575%
Spread -2.574%
Spread -1.573%
Spread -4.567%
O/U 33.566%
Spread -6.565%
Spread -5.563%
Spread -7.562%
Spread: Duke (-9.5)54%
Spread -8.554%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 31.550%
O/U 35.550%
O/U 37.550%
O/U 41.550%
O/U 43.550%
O/U 47.550%
O/U 55.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 71.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -2.550%
1H Spread -3.550%
1H Spread -4.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Spread -6.550%
1H Moneyline50%
Duke O/U 24.550%
Duke O/U 27.550%
Duke O/U 30.550%
Duke O/U 33.550%
Duke O/U 36.550%
Tulane O/U 15.550%
Tulane O/U 21.550%
Tulane O/U 24.550%
Tulane O/U 27.550%
Duke 1H O/U 12.550%
Duke 1H O/U 14.550%
Duke 1H O/U 16.550%
1H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
Duke O/U 23.550%
Duke O/U 26.550%
Duke O/U 29.550%
Duke O/U 32.550%
Duke O/U 35.550%
Tulane 1H O/U 8.550%
Tulane 1H O/U 10.550%
Tulane 1H O/U 12.550%
Tulane 2H O/U 7.550%
Tulane 2H O/U 9.550%
Tulane 2H O/U 11.550%
Duke 2H O/U 11.550%
Duke 2H O/U 13.550%
Duke 2H O/U 15.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -6.550%
Duke 2H O/U 12.550%
Duke 2H O/U 14.550%
Duke 2H O/U 16.550%
Tulane O/U 14.550%
Tulane O/U 17.550%
Tulane O/U 20.550%
Tulane O/U 23.550%
Tulane O/U 26.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
Tulane 1H O/U 7.550%
Tulane 1H O/U 9.550%
Tulane 1H O/U 11.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Tulane 2H O/U 8.550%
Tulane 2H O/U 10.550%
Tulane 2H O/U 12.550%
Duke O/U 3.550%
Tulane O/U 2.550%
Nate Sheppard: Anytime Touchdown50%
CJ Campbell Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jared Richardson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Javen Nicholas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylin Lucas: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jeremiah Hasley: Anytime Touchdown50%
Maurice Turner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Anthony Brown-Stephens: Anytime Touchdown50%
Zycarl Lewis Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jayden Moore: Anytime Touchdown50%
Walker Eget: Anytime Touchdown50%
Destyn Hill: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ty Thompson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dawson Johnson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jonah Burton: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nate Kurisky: Anytime Touchdown50%
Oliver Mitchell Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Johnnie Daniels: Anytime Touchdown50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
Spread -10.549%
O/U 39.548%
Spread -13.546%
Spread -14.539%
Spread -16.537%
Spread -17.536%
Spread -21.526%
O/U 45.526%
Spread -20.525%
Spread -24.522%
O/U 53.521%
O/U 51.520%
Tulane vs. Duke14%
Spread -27.514%
O/U 57.514%
O/U 50.512%
O/U 49.511%
O/U 63.59%
O/U 69.57%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Tulane vs. Duke. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 16% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-05T19:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "توقع: Tulane vs. Duke".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $493K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Tulane vs. Duke. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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