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توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Spread -0.5 91% Spread -1.5 91% Spread -2.5 91% Spread -3.5 90% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.591%
Spread -1.591%
Spread -2.591%
Spread -3.590%
Spread -4.587%
Spread -5.587%
O/U 27.587%
Spread -6.584%
Spread -7.584%
O/U 33.583%
Spread -10.577%
Wisconsin O/U 6.577%
Spread -13.574%
O/U 39.571%
Notre Dame O/U 27.571%
2Q Spread -6.570%
Notre Dame O/U 33.569%
Spread -14.568%
2H Spread -6.568%
O/U 29.567%
Spread -16.566%
O/U 37.565%
2H Spread -7.564%
Notre Dame O/U 30.563%
1H Spread -9.562%
Spread -17.561%
2Q Spread -7.561%
O/U 35.560%
O/U 43.560%
O/U 53.560%
2H Spread -9.560%
Wisconsin O/U 9.560%
O/U 31.559%
O/U 41.559%
1Q Spread -3.559%
Spread -8.557%
Spread -20.556%
1H Spread -10.556%
4Q Spread -2.555%
Notre Dame O/U 4.555%
O/U 45.554%
O/U 55.554%
1Q Spread -6.554%
2H Spread -4.554%
1H Spread -8.553%
Spread -31.552%
1H Spread -13.552%
1H Spread -11.551%
2H Spread -8.551%
2Q Moneyline51%
3Q Spread -2.551%
3Q Spread -5.551%
4Q Spread -3.551%
O/U 46.551%
Notre Dame O/U 0.551%
2H Spread -11.551%
1H Spread -16.551%
Spread -21.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Wisconsin O/U 7.550%
Wisconsin O/U 10.550%
Notre Dame O/U 36.550%
Notre Dame O/U 39.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.550%
Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown50%
CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown50%
Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown50%
Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown50%
Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown50%
Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown50%
Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown50%
Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Wisconsin O/U 12.550%
Wisconsin O/U 15.550%
Wisconsin O/U 18.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.550%
Wisconsin O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin O/U 3.550%
Notre Dame O/U 25.550%
Notre Dame O/U 28.550%
Notre Dame O/U 31.550%
Notre Dame O/U 34.550%
Notre Dame O/U 40.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
Notre Dame O/U 26.550%
Notre Dame O/U 29.550%
Notre Dame O/U 32.550%
Notre Dame O/U 35.550%
Notre Dame O/U 38.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.550%
Cam Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Notre Dame O/U 2.549%
2H Spread -10.549%
1H Spread -14.549%
O/U 67.548%
1H Spread -12.548%
3Q Spread -3.548%
Notre Dame O/U 1.548%
1H Spread -15.548%
O/U 47.547%
1Q Spread -7.547%
O/U 65.546%
3Q Spread -6.545%
4Q Spread -6.543%
Wisconsin O/U 13.542%
3Q Spread -7.542%
Wisconsin O/U 1.542%
O/U 49.541%
Spread -27.539%
Notre Dame O/U 37.539%
Spread -24.538%
Wisconsin O/U 1.538%
O/U 51.534%
Wisconsin O/U 2.530%
Notre Dame O/U 3.530%
Wisconsin O/U 16.528%
Wisconsin O/U 19.523%
O/U 57.520%
1H Moneyline12%
O/U 63.511%
Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame9%

Market context

Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 9% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-06T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 91% for "توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame".

Spread -0.5 91% Other 9%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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