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توقع: Wisconsin vs. UCLA

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Wisconsin vs. UCLA" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1H Spread -5.5 90% 2Q Spread -0.5 90% Volume: $305K Liquidity: $388K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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توقع: Wisconsin vs. UCLA

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -5.590%
2Q Spread -0.590%
2Q Spread -1.590%
2Q Spread -2.590%
2Q Spread -3.590%
2Q Spread -5.590%
Spread -0.589%
Spread -1.585%
Spread -2.583%
Spread -3.574%
Spread -4.573%
Spread -5.571%
4Q O/U 7.568%
Spread -6.566%
Spread -7.560%
1H Spread -2.556%
3Q O/U 16.555%
Spread -8.554%
1H Spread -0.553%
1H Spread -1.553%
1H Spread -3.553%
Spread -0.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -8.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 63.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
Wisconsin O/U 26.550%
Wisconsin O/U 29.550%
Wisconsin O/U 32.550%
UCLA O/U 26.550%
UCLA O/U 29.550%
UCLA O/U 32.550%
UCLA O/U 35.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 11.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 13.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 15.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 12.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 14.550%
UCLA 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Wisconsin O/U 2.550%
UCLA O/U 2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
1H O/U 24.548%
1H O/U 30.548%
1H O/U 33.548%
3Q O/U 7.548%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 11.548%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 13.548%
Spread -10.547%
1H O/U 27.547%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 15.547%
1H Spread -1.547%
4Q O/U 10.545%
1H Moneyline45%
O/U 35.544%
UCLA O/U 23.540%
3Q Spread -2.539%
Spread -13.538%
4Q O/U 13.538%
4Q Spread -2.535%
Spread -14.533%
3Q O/U 10.533%
3Q Spread -3.533%
3Q O/U 13.530%
4Q Spread -3.529%
Spread -16.528%
O/U 37.526%
O/U 47.524%
O/U 51.523%
O/U 53.523%
4Q O/U 16.523%
O/U 57.522%
Spread -17.521%
O/U 39.521%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA16%
Spread -20.514%
O/U 41.514%
4Q O/U 19.514%
Wisconsin O/U 20.513%
Spread -2.512%
Spread -1.512%
O/U 43.512%
1H O/U 21.510%
2Q O/U 7.510%
2Q O/U 10.510%
2Q O/U 13.510%
2Q O/U 16.510%
2Q O/U 19.510%
UCLA 1H O/U 12.510%
UCLA 1H O/U 14.510%
UCLA 1H O/U 16.510%
2Q Spread -1.510%
2Q Moneyline10%
Spread -3.58%
Spread -4.57%
O/U 45.57%
3Q O/U 19.57%
Wisconsin O/U 23.57%
Spread -5.56%
O/U 49.56%
Spread -6.55%
Spread -14.54%
Spread -7.54%
Spread -16.53%
Spread -13.53%
Spread -10.53%
O/U 61.53%
Spread -17.52%
O/U 55.52%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

The توقع: Wisconsin vs. UCLA prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. This market will resolve to …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -0.5 at 100% for "توقع: Wisconsin vs. UCLA".

1Q Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $305K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Wisconsin vs. UCLA. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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