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توقع: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 63% Map 2 Winner 62% Map 1 Winner 56% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner63%
Map 2 Winner62%
Map 1 Winner56%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)49%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)41%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)35%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)34%

Market context

Market consensus: 63% chance of توقع: counter-strike: furia vs legacy (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Third place match between FURIA and Legacy in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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