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توقع: Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Any Player Ultra Kill 53% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Ends in Daytime 52% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $570K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Ultra Kill53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks52%
Any Player Rampage51%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)45%
First Blood in Game 1?45%
First Blood in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?45%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Game 2 Winner34%
Game 1 Winner33%
Match Winner28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill28%
Any Player Rampage26%
Any Player Rampage26%

Market context

Market consensus: 53% chance of توقع: dota 2: lgd gaming vs team yandex (bo3) - the international elimination round. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This m…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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