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توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

"توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Any Player Ultra Kill 65% Match Winner 60% Game 1 Winner 56% Game 2 Winner 55% Volume: $114K Liquidity: $547K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Player Ultra Kill65%
Match Winner60%
Game 1 Winner56%
Game 2 Winner55%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks54%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
Ends in Daytime51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Any Player Rampage49%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?45%
First Blood in Game 2?45%
Both Teams Beat Roshan39%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan37%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks28%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Ultra Kill25%
Any Player Rampage15%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

The توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage prediction market currently prices this outcome at 65% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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