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توقع: National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 68% National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti 56% National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.5 56% National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner 55% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $166K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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توقع: National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 8.568%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti56%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 21.556%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner55%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner54%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.551%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.551%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 22.549%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 23.545%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.534%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.534%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.530%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.527%

Market context

The توقع: National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction market currently prices this outcome at 68% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael J…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets