Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel | 73% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner | 66% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner | 65% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 Winner | 64% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 51% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Game Spread +/-4.5 | 49% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 31% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: us open atp: jiri lehecka vs toby samuel. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Toby Samuel in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel on توقعات كورة
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