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توقع: US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche

Football snapshot for "توقع: US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 72% US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 3.5 66% US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche 59% US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner 56% Volume: $72K Liquidity: $411K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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توقع: US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.572%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 3.566%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche59%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner56%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 Winner56%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 3 Winner56%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 36.554%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Game Spread +/-2.552%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 9.552%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 38.549%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.544%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 40.542%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 4.530%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 10.527%
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-2.523%

Market context

The توقع: US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche prediction market currently prices this outcome at 72% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Luca Van Assche in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Sh…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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Related Topics

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