Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| LASK Linz | 100% |
| FK Austria Wien | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Austria Wien host LASK Linz in the Austria Bundesliga, with the market sitting at 0% YES even though the fixture is scheduled to go ahead and is listed by multiple preview sources for Sunday’s 17:00 UTC kick-off at the Generali Arena.[2][11][12] The main historical frame is straightforward: LASK have had the better of this matchup over a longer sample, with FootyStats putting the head-to-head at 14 LASK wins, four Austria wins and eight draws across 26 meetings, while recent previews note LASK have also won the last two league meetings, including a 3-0 away win in Vienna after a 4-1 home win.[13][2]
That record matters because the wider trend has leaned towards a tighter, higher-scoring game than the 0% YES price implies. Recent statistical previews give LASK the stronger form line, with one source rating them higher on power and both sides showing strong over-2.5 goal rates in recent samples, while Austria arrive after a 3-0 defeat away to Wolfsberger and LASK after a 3-0 home win over Grazer.[5][2] For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups and any late team news around Austria’s response to that heavy loss, plus whether LASK keep the same attacking shape after their win; the market will also react to any late suspension or injury updates and to whether either side rotates from the previous round.[2][4]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $75K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: FK Austria Wien vs. LASK Linz. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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