Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Boise State O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 96% |
| O/U 40.5 | 95% |
| O/U 46.5 | 87% |
| O/U 50.5 | 76% |
| Spread -3.5 | 72% |
| O/U 51.5 | 68% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 72.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Boise State 2H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oregon 1H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Boise State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jordon Davison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dierre Hill Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Evan Stewart: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dakorien Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dante Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamari Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dylan Riley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Da'Jaun Riggs: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sire Gaines: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jeremiah McClellan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Iverson Hooks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Maddux Madsen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cameron Bates: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Gatlin Bair: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Juelz Goff: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ben Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rasean Jones: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kendre Harrison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Quinton Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Wagner: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Darren Morris: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Austin Terry: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Oregon O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 46% |
| O/U 58.5 | 44% |
| Spread -13.5 | 35% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -31.5 | 25% |
| O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Spread -17.5 | 22% |
| Spread -34.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| Boise State vs. Oregon | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 13% |
| Spread: Oregon (-24.5) | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| O/U 70.5 | 10% |
| Spread -27.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: boise state vs. oregon stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 3:30PM ET: If Boise State wins, the market will resolve to "Boise State". If Oregon wins, the market will resolv…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $381K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Boise State vs. Oregon. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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