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توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan

"توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1H Moneyline 100% 1Q Moneyline 100% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $405K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
3Q Spread -2.588%
3Q Spread -3.587%
Spread -1.577%
Spread -2.569%
Spread -3.568%
4Q O/U 7.563%
Spread -4.559%
Spread -5.555%
Spread -6.553%
3Q O/U 7.553%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q451%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.551%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -0.550%
O/U 53.550%
O/U 55.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
Penn State O/U 26.550%
Penn State O/U 29.550%
Penn State O/U 32.550%
Michigan O/U 26.550%
Michigan O/U 29.550%
Michigan O/U 32.550%
Michigan O/U 35.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 11.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 13.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 15.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 12.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 14.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Penn State O/U 2.550%
Michigan O/U 2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -7.546%
4Q Spread -1.545%
4Q O/U 13.541%
4Q Spread -2.541%
3Q O/U 13.540%
4Q Spread -3.534%
O/U 35.533%
O/U 37.530%
Spread -10.528%
O/U 41.528%
Michigan O/U 23.527%
Spread -8.523%
4Q O/U 16.522%
4Q O/U 19.522%
Spread -13.521%
Penn State vs. Michigan20%
Spread -1.520%
Spread -2.518%
3Q O/U 16.517%
3Q O/U 19.514%
Spread -3.513%
Spread -16.513%
Spread -4.512%
Penn State O/U 20.512%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -17.511%
Spread -5.510%
Penn State O/U 23.59%
O/U 39.58%
Spread -6.57%
Spread -13.56%
Spread -20.56%
Spread -10.55%
Spread -7.55%
O/U 51.55%
Spread -14.54%
O/U 43.54%
O/U 45.53%
O/U 49.53%
O/U 47.52%
O/U 57.52%
O/U 63.51%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 11.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 13.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 15.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 12.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 14.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

Penn State vs. Michigan. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 20% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-17T19:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -1.5 at 100% for "توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan".

1Q Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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