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توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 27.5 93% Spread -0.5 92% Spread -1.5 92% Spread -2.5 91% Volume: $166K Liquidity: $2.2M Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 27.593%
Spread -0.592%
Spread -1.592%
Spread -2.591%
O/U 29.590%
Spread -3.588%
Spread -4.587%
Spread -5.586%
O/U 31.585%
Spread -6.584%
O/U 33.584%
Spread -7.580%
Spread -8.579%
O/U 35.579%
Wisconsin O/U 6.579%
Notre Dame O/U 25.578%
Notre Dame O/U 26.577%
Spread -10.575%
O/U 37.575%
Spread -13.572%
Notre Dame O/U 27.572%
O/U 39.570%
Spread -14.567%
2H Spread -5.567%
Notre Dame O/U 28.567%
2H Spread -4.567%
O/U 41.566%
Wisconsin O/U 7.566%
Notre Dame O/U 29.566%
Spread -16.565%
1H Spread -9.563%
2H Spread -6.563%
Notre Dame O/U 30.563%
Wisconsin O/U 9.563%
1H Spread -8.562%
Spread -17.561%
1Q Spread -3.561%
O/U 43.560%
3Q Spread -2.560%
Spread -20.556%
1H Spread -10.556%
2Q Spread -6.556%
4Q Spread -2.556%
Notre Dame O/U 31.555%
Notre Dame O/U 32.555%
O/U 45.554%
1Q Spread -6.554%
Wisconsin O/U 10.554%
Notre Dame O/U 33.554%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.554%
2H Spread -7.553%
3Q Spread -6.552%
2H Moneyline51%
1H Spread -11.551%
2H Spread -8.551%
1Q Spread -5.551%
1Q Moneyline51%
2Q Moneyline51%
3Q Moneyline51%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.551%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.551%
O/U 46.551%
Wisconsin O/U 1.551%
Notre Dame O/U 4.551%
Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown51%
James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown51%
Wisconsin O/U 12.551%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.551%
Wisconsin O/U 1.551%
Wisconsin O/U 2.551%
Notre Dame O/U 0.551%
Notre Dame O/U 1.551%
Notre Dame O/U 3.551%
4Q Spread -6.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.551%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.551%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.551%
Cam Williams: Anytime Touchdown51%
1H Spread -12.550%
2H Spread -9.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.550%
Wisconsin O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin O/U 3.550%
Notre Dame O/U 2.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
Spread -21.549%
1H Spread -13.549%
2Q Spread -8.549%
4Q Spread -3.549%
4Q Spread -4.549%
4Q Spread -5.549%
Notre Dame O/U 34.549%
3Q Spread -1.548%
3Q Spread -3.548%
3Q Spread -5.548%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.548%
3Q Spread -7.548%
3Q Spread -8.548%
3Q Spread -0.548%
4Q Spread -0.548%
4Q Spread -1.547%
4Q Spread -8.547%
O/U 47.546%
Wisconsin O/U 13.545%
2H Spread -10.544%
2Q Spread -7.543%
O/U 49.541%
2H Spread -11.541%
Notre Dame O/U 35.541%
Spread -24.539%
Notre Dame O/U 36.539%
Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown38%
Notre Dame O/U 37.538%
1H Spread -14.538%
O/U 51.536%
1H Spread -15.536%
Spread -27.535%
1H Spread -16.535%
Wisconsin O/U 15.534%
1Q Spread -7.532%
Wisconsin O/U 16.531%
Notre Dame O/U 39.531%
O/U 53.530%
Notre Dame O/U 38.530%
Notre Dame O/U 40.528%
O/U 55.525%
Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown25%
Wisconsin O/U 18.524%
Spread -31.523%
Wisconsin O/U 19.523%
Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown23%
4Q Spread -7.523%
O/U 57.522%
Spread -34.519%
Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown19%
Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown18%
O/U 59.517%
CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown17%
Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown17%
O/U 61.516%
Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown15%
Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown15%
Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown15%
Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown14%
O/U 63.512%
1H Moneyline12%
Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown11%
O/U 65.510%
Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame9%
Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown9%
O/U 67.58%
Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown8%
Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown8%
Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown8%
Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown8%
Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown8%
Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown7%
Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown5%
Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown4%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET: If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame". I…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 27.5 at 93% for "توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame".

O/U 27.5 93% Other 7%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $166K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Alex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market AnalystandJordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction Reporter

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