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توقع: Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Draw 100% Henan FC 0% Dalian Yingbo FC 0% Volume: $207K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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توقع: Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Draw100%
Henan FC0%
Dalian Yingbo FC0%

Market context

Henan FC meet Dalian Yingbo FC in the Chinese Super League with the market pricing a 0% YES outcome, which is an unusually hard line given how tight this fixture has been. The recent head-to-head points both ways: Dalian beat Henan 2-1 in April, while Henan thrashed Dalian 4-0 at home in August 2025, and the latest cup meeting finished level before Dalian went through on penalties[5][13][18]. That mixed record matters because it shows the matchup can flip quickly depending on venue, game state and whether either side gets on top early; it is not a fixture with one stable dominance profile[1][15].

The form into this match is also more informative than the historical record. Henan arrived off a 2-1 win at Shandong Taishan and a 5-1 home win over Qingdao Hainiu, after a run that also included narrow defeats and a draw, while Dalian came in after a 3-2 loss at Zhejiang, having previously beaten Shandong 3-1 and Wuhan Three Towns 3-2[6][18]. For traders, the key catalysts are the confirmed line-ups and late availability: both clubs have had recent high-tempo schedules, including the 21 July cup tie between them, so rotation, fatigue and any late defensive absences could move the price quickly once team news drops[5][14][18].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Draw at 100% for "توقع: Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC".

Draw 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $207K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Henan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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