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توقع: CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - Exact Score

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - Exact Score" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD 16% Any Other Score 14% CF Villarreal C 1 - 1 Levante UD 13% CF Villarreal C 1 - 0 Levante UD 9% Volume: $110K Liquidity: $127K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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توقع: CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات كورة) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
16% 84% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
16% 84% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD16%
Any Other Score14%
CF Villarreal C 1 - 1 Levante UD13%
CF Villarreal C 1 - 0 Levante UD9%
CF Villarreal C 2 - 1 Levante UD9%
CF Villarreal C 2 - 0 Levante UD7%
CF Villarreal C 2 - 2 Levante UD7%
CF Villarreal C 0 - 1 Levante UD5%
CF Villarreal C 1 - 2 Levante UD5%
CF Villarreal C 3 - 1 Levante UD5%
CF Villarreal C 3 - 0 Levante UD4%
CF Villarreal C 0 - 2 Levante UD3%
CF Villarreal C 3 - 2 Levante UD3%
CF Villarreal C 1 - 3 Levante UD2%
CF Villarreal C 2 - 3 Levante UD2%
CF Villarreal C 3 - 3 Levante UD2%
CF Villarreal C 0 - 3 Levante UD1%

Market context

CF Villarreal C host Levante UD in a club friendly with an exact-score market that is only lightly priced at **16% Yes**, which points to a fairly open result pool rather than a strong lean to a single scoreline. The closest comparable head-to-head data favours Villarreal overall: Sportradar lists 41 meetings since 1996, with Villarreal winning 26, Levante 10 and five draws, while FootyStats’ broader sample shows Villarreal also ahead on goals scored across the series.[2][3]

Recent meetings have not followed a rigid pattern, which matters for an exact-score market. Villarreal beat Levante 1-0 in LaLiga on 18 February 2026, but the earlier 24 January 2026 league meeting finished Levante 2-1 Villarreal, and the recent dataset also shows low-to-moderate scoring with clean sheets appearing frequently for the winner.[2][5][14] That profile usually supports a narrow set of plausible outcomes rather than a high-scoring blowout, although the friendly setting makes line-up rotation more influential than in league play.

For traders, the key catalysts are team sheets, late withdrawals and whether either side treats the game as a proper dress rehearsal or a heavy rotation exercise. Levante’s recent league run before this fixture was mixed, including defeats to Barcelona, Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, alongside a draw with Atlético and a win over Elche, so any first-choice defensive pairing missing from the XI would materially shift the score expectation.[8][14] Villarreal’s own recent results include wins over Leverkusen, Legia and Alboraya, plus a draw with Valencia, suggesting enough attacking capability for multiple scorelines if senior players start.[5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: CF Villarreal C vs. Levante UD - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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